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Global Forum on Trade Statistics
organized jointly by UNSD and Eurostat in collaboration with WTO and UNCTAD
2-4 February 2011, Geneva, Switzerland
RONALD JANSEN (Chairperson) |
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Biography |
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Mr. Ronald Jansen became Chief of the Trade Statistics Branch of the United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) on 1 August 2010. In his current position he is responsible for statistics of international trade in goods and services and tourism statistics. Prior to that, he was chief of the Capacity Development section of UNSD and before that worked for many years in the area of international trade statistics, of which 6 years in Geneva.
Mr. Jansen studied Statistics and Psychology at the University of Groningen, taught Statistics at the University of Nijmegen and obtained there a PhD in mathematical modeling of human information processing. He works for the United Nations Statistics Division since June 1990.
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ANDREAS MAURER |
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Abstract |
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From Trade in Goods to Trade in Tasks – regional networks in global supply chains
This presentation is a snapshot description of the joint WTO and IDE-JETRO project that is currently work in progress. The objective is to produce a pilot data base on trade in value added, and a set of statistical and factual indicators on the important role played by regional networks in the expansion of global supply chains. The project focuses on key trading partners that have been pivotal in the emergence of Asia as the world's manufacturing hub. Starting with a depiction of changing consumer demand, leading to changing trading structures, the project will review trade determinants and changes in trade patterns by providing insights into global manufacturing and vertical trade – and the related metrics. It will also touch upon the impact of trade on an economy's growth, development and employment.
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Biography |
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Andreas Maurer is Chief of the International Trade Statistics Section at WTO. He studied economics with a specialization in public finance and statistics at the University of Hohenheim and holds a doctorate (Dr.oec.) in economics. In 1990, he joined the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe where he worked in the Secretariat of the Conference of European Statisticians. He was editor-in-charge of the Statistical Journal of the UN ECE. In 1994 he moved to GATT/WTO. His current interests include measuring trade in services flows, especially mode 4, and trade in value added.
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ROBERT STEHRER |
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Abstract |
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Decomposing trade in value added
We introduce an alternative approach to decompose (net) trade flows in value added and its components like capital and labour and the respective subcomponents. The approach distinguishes between direct, indirect and re-imports with a similar distinction for exports. Trade flows will be differentiated by types of products like intermediate and final goods. Further, we relate this approach to the existing methods applied in the literature on trade in value added and vertical specialisation. Empirically we present selected results of an application of the proposed decomposition method based on the recently compiled World Input-Output Database (WIOD) covering 40 countries and 35 industries over the period 1995-2006.
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Biography |
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Robert Stehrer is Senior Economist and Deputy Scientific Director at the The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) and lecturer in economics at the University of Vienna. He studied economics at the Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria, where he also worked as Assistant Professor and lecturer, and Sociology at the Institute for Advanced Studies (IAS) in Vienna. He holds a Ph.D. (Dr. rer.soc.oec) in economics and the venia docendi in economics from the University of Linz. He is also in the Board of Editors of Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, North Holland. His fields of research are international economic integration, the effects of technical change and trade on employment and wages, structural change and growth, economic dynamics, labour markets, regional economics and applied econometrics.
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BO MENG |
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Abstract |
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Towards Measuring Trade in Value Added and Other Indicators of Global Value Chains – Current OECD Projects Using Input-Output Tables
With the increasing prevalence of global production networks over the last decade or so, there is a realisation that traditional trade statistics may no longer be able to meaningfully describe the underlying economic importance of trade, whether that be in terms of income or employment. This presentation briefly describes the concerns from a policy perspective and the steps OECD is taking to address this issue. Following earlier work on estimating bilateral trade in intermediates by industry, and recent technical workshops, OECD is embarking on a project to measure and understand international trade in value added terms. A preliminary database of trade by industry and end-use had been produced and, using the existing set of OECD harmonised Input-Output tables, a suite of indicators to describe Global Value Chains (GVCs) are being developed within a computational framework that will also provide insights on imports by origin of factor inputs and the domestic content of exports. OECD is working with other researchers and stakeholders in this area such as WTO, IDE-JETRO, USITC and the WIOD project, and expects further co-operation and exchanges of ideas as it drafts a concepts and methodology document concerning the measurement and interpretation of trade in value added.
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Biography |
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Bo Meng is a visiting research fellow at the OECD on secondment from the Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (IDE-JETRO). He received his Ph.D. in Information Science from Tohoku University (2005). His current research interests include regional economic integration and global value chains. He has previous experience in the construction and analysis of international (inter-regional) input-output tables and spatial CGE models.
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SEBASTIEN MIROUDOT |
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Abstract |
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Towards Measuring Trade in Value Added and Other Indicators of Global Value Chains – Current OECD Projects Using Input-Output Tables
With the increasing prevalence of global production networks over the last decade or so, there is a realisation that traditional trade statistics may no longer be able to meaningfully describe the underlying economic importance of trade, whether that be in terms of income or employment. This presentation briefly describes the concerns from a policy perspective and the steps OECD is taking to address this issue. Following earlier work on estimating bilateral trade in intermediates by industry, and recent technical workshops, OECD is embarking on a project to measure and understand international trade in value added terms. A preliminary database of trade by industry and end-use had been produced and, using the existing set of OECD harmonised Input-Output tables, a suite of indicators to describe Global Value Chains (GVCs) are being developed within a computational framework that will also provide insights on imports by origin of factor inputs and the domestic content of exports. OECD is working with other researchers and stakeholders in this area such as WTO, IDE-JETRO, USITC and the WIOD project, and expects further co-operation and exchanges of ideas as it drafts a concepts and methodology document concerning the measurement and interpretation of trade in value added.
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Biography |
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Sébastien Miroudot is trade policy analyst at the OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate. He holds a PhD in International Economics from SciencesPo Paris, where he teaches in the Master’s degree program. Before joining the OECD, he worked for several years at Groupe d’Economie Mondiale as research assistant and lecturer. His research interests include trade in services, the relationship between trade and investment and the role of multinational enterprises in international trade.
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WILLIAM POWERS |
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Abstract |
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Give credit where credit is due: Tracing value added in global production chains
This paper presents a new conceptual framework to measure sources of value-added trade by country in global production networks. With a parsimonious decomposition of gross exports that eliminates "double counting," it integrates all previous measures of vertical specialization and value-added trade in the literature. We apply the framework to the most recent appropriate data (2004). Among emerging markets, East Asian countries are the most globally integrated. Among major developed economies, the US is the most integrated in some aspects, and Japan in others. These regional differences also affect exporters’ trade costs.
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Biography |
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Dr. William M. Powers is an international economist in the Research Division of the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC). He has conducted a variety of empirical trade policy research, including sectoral gravity analysis, apparel trade barriers, and calculation of tariff restrictiveness in the presence of nontraded goods. He is currently part of a research team at the ITC examining value chains in global production networks, including a complete mapping of global value-added flows to gross trade statistics. Dr. Powers was detailed to the President’s Council of Economic Advisors (CEA) as a Senior Economist in 2008–2009; he worked for both the Bush and Obama Administrations. At the CEA, he provided economic analysis for numerous trade policy issues and regularly edited the President’s daily economic bulletin. Dr. Powers has continued to work with various interagency groups upon his return to the ITC.
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