INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR ON EARLY WARNING AND BUSINESS CYCLE INDICATORS
14-16 December 2009, Scheveningen, The Netherlands
List of Documents
(Documents will be added to the list as they become available)
DOCUMENTATION FOR THE SEMINAR FILE SIZE 1 Agenda 30 KB 2 List of documents ASP 3 List of participants 74 KB 4 Concept note 16 KB 5 Final report 87 KB PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS FOR THE SEMINAR FILE SIZE SESSION 1: Opening P1.1 Opening address PPT 1567 KB P1.2 Keynote address PPT 165 KB SESSION 2: Global statistical response to the economic and financial crisis S2.1 Progress on the global statistical response to the economic and financial crisis (UNSD) 38 KB P2.1 Setting the stage PPT 1379 KB S2.2 Overview of terminology for high frequency indicators (Roberto Barcellan, Eurostat) 58 KB P2.2 Glossary of statistical terms associated to the estimation of key economic indicators (Eurostat) PPT 935 KB SESSION 3: The role of sentiment indicators in tracking economic trends P3.1 Introduction to the session PPT 140 KB S3.2a Using business tendency surveys to reduce revisions (Jan-Egbert Sturm, Switzerland) 238 KB S3.2b Using business tendency surveys to reduce revisions (Jan-Egbert Sturm, Switzerland) 4191 KB P3.2 Using business tendency surveys to reduce revisions (Jan-Egbert Sturm, Switzerland) PPT 1197 KB P3.3 The EU Programme of Business and Consumer surveys: scope and relevance for economic analysis PPT 215 KB S3.4 Using Turning Point Indicators Based upon Business Surveys: the French Case and beyond (Eric Dubois, France) 298 KB S3.5 Establishment and empirical analysis of Chinas Macroeconomic Climate Index and Early-warning Index (Jiancheng Pan, China) 178 KB P3.6 Discussion of the Contributed Papers to Session 3 (Gian Paolo Oneto, Italy) PPT 231 KB SESSION 4: The role of Composite Indicators in tracking Business Cycles P4.1 Introduction to the session 541 KB P4.2 Tracking and Anticipating Singapore's Growth Cycles PPT 408 KB P4.3 10 years of experience in forecasting turning points (Jacques Anas) PPT 1620 KB S4.4 A monthly assessment of Euro Area cyclical situation (Gian Luigi Mazzi and Filippo Moauro, Eurostat) 83 KB S4.5 Tracking the Mexican business cycle (Yuriko Yabuta, Mexico) 1037 KB S4.6 OECD System of Leading Indicators, 2008 (Gyorgy Gyomai and Emmanuelle Guidetti, OECD) 291 KB S4.7 The role of Composite Indicators in Tracking Business Cycles (Ho-Sup Lee, Jong Rlog Choi and Sung Joo Lim, Korea) 407 KB S4.9 The role of composite indicators in tracking business cycle in Mongolia (Gerelt-Od Ganbaatar, Mongolia) 605 KB S4.10 Monitoring business cycles: Malaysias experiences (Abd. Latib Talib, Malaysia) 309 KB P4.10 Monitoring business cycles: Malaysias experiences PPT 522 KB P4.11 Discussion of the Contributed Papers to Session 4 (Geert Bruinooge, Netherlands) PPT 39 KB SESSION 5: Flash Estimates of Gross Domestic Product P5.1 Introduction to the session PPT 575 KB P5.2 Towards a flash GDP PPT 1630 KB S5.3 The Euro-area recession and nowcasting GDP growth using statistical models (Gian Luigi Mazzi, James Mitchell, Gaetana Montana, Kostas Mouratidis and Martin Weale) 190 KB P5.3 The Euro-area recession and nowcasting GDP growth using statistical models (Gian Luigi Mazzi, James Mitchell, Gaetana Montana, Kostas Mouratidis and Martin Weale) PPT 287 KB P5.4 Methodology of Flash GDP estimates PPT 195 KB S5.5 Availability and quality of short-term economic statistics in the Asian and the Pacific Region (Jan Smit and Artur Andrysiak, UNESCAP) 819 KB S5.6 Methodological basis of the flash GDP estimates: Experience of the Republic of Belarus (Yulia Bartkevich, Belarus) 58 KB S5.7 Flash Estimates of Quarterly GDP in China (Faqi Shi, China) 39 KB P5.8 Some flash indicators for inflation in Indonesia (Sasmito Wibowo and Made Ina, Indonesia) 615 KB P5.9 Discussion of the Contributed Papers to Session 5 PPT 303 KB SESSION 6: The Analytical Framework for Assessing Rapid Economic Changes P6.1 Introduction to the session PPT 917 KB P6.2 Economic Monitoring in an Uncertain Global Environment - Processes and Tools from the World Bank (Soong Sup Lee, Hans Timmer and Gauresh Rajadhyaksha, World Bank) PPT 732 KB P6.3 Assessing the social impact of the crisis in the European Union (Terry Ward) PPT 223 KB S6.4 Indicators for detection of imbalances leading to economic crises (Ales Capek, Eurostat) 56 KB P6.5 Short term statistics in Chile PPT 234 KB P6.6 Short term Indicators on African Economies PPT 565 KB SESSION 7: Global Assessment Report on rapid indicators S7.1 Global assessment on the availability, periodicity, timeliness and dissemination of high frequency indicators (Ivo Havinga and Herman Smith, UNSD) 104 KB P7.1 Results of Global assessment on the availability, periodicity, timeliness and dissemination of high frequency indicators PPT 1555 KB S7.2 Use of early warning and business cycle indicators in analytical frameworks (Thierno Balde, Ralf Becker and Ivo Havinga, UNSD) 93 KB P7.2 Early warning and business cycle indicators in analytical frameworks PPT 1873 KB SESSION 8: Communication and dissemination of indicators P8.1 Introduction to the session PPT 197 KB S8.2 Creating statistical information; visualisations and coherent indicator sets (Floris van Ruth, Netherlands) 402 KB P8.2 Creating statistical information; visualisations and coherent indicator sets (Floris van Ruth, Netherlands) PPT 435 KB P8.3 Statistics Explained PPT 695 KB P8.4 Statistics Canada consultations with users: Results and lessons learned (Art Ridgeway, Canada) PPT 365 KB S8.5 SNA News and Notes - Issue 29, November 2009 269 KB SESSION 9: Assessment of Early Warning and Business Cycle Indicators