INTERNATIONAL SEMINAR ON EARLY WARNING AND BUSINESS CYCLE INDICATORS

14-16 December 2009, Scheveningen, The Netherlands

 
 
 

List of Documents

(Documents will be added to the list as they become available)
       
 DOCUMENTATION FOR THE SEMINARFILESIZE
 1AgendaPDF30 KB
 2List of documentsASP
 3List of participantsPDF74 KB
 4Concept notePDF16 KB
 5Final reportPDF87 KB
       
 PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS FOR THE SEMINARFILESIZE
 SESSION 1:Opening
 P1.1Opening addressPPT1567 KB
 P1.2Keynote addressPPT165 KB
 SESSION 2:Global statistical response to the economic and financial crisis
 S2.1Progress on the global statistical response to the economic and financial crisis (UNSD)PDF38 KB
 P2.1Setting the stagePPT1379 KB
 S2.2Overview of terminology for high frequency indicators (Roberto Barcellan, Eurostat)PDF58 KB
 P2.2Glossary of statistical terms associated to the estimation of key economic indicators (Eurostat)PPT935 KB
 SESSION 3:The role of sentiment indicators in tracking economic trends
 P3.1Introduction to the sessionPPT140 KB
 S3.2aUsing business tendency surveys to reduce revisions (Jan-Egbert Sturm, Switzerland)PDF238 KB
 S3.2bUsing business tendency surveys to reduce revisions (Jan-Egbert Sturm, Switzerland)PDF4191 KB
 P3.2Using business tendency surveys to reduce revisions (Jan-Egbert Sturm, Switzerland)PPT1197 KB
 P3.3The EU Programme of Business and Consumer surveys: scope and relevance for economic analysisPPT215 KB
 S3.4Using Turning Point Indicators Based upon Business Surveys: the French Case and beyond (Eric Dubois, France)PDF298 KB
 S3.5Establishment and empirical analysis of Chinas Macroeconomic Climate Index and Early-warning Index (Jiancheng Pan, China)PDF178 KB
 P3.6Discussion of the Contributed Papers to Session 3 (Gian Paolo Oneto, Italy)PPT231 KB
 SESSION 4:The role of Composite Indicators in tracking Business Cycles
 P4.1Introduction to the sessionPDF541 KB
 P4.2Tracking and Anticipating Singapore's Growth CyclesPPT408 KB
 P4.310 years of experience in forecasting turning points (Jacques Anas)PPT1620 KB
 S4.4A monthly assessment of Euro Area cyclical situation (Gian Luigi Mazzi and Filippo Moauro, Eurostat)PDF83 KB
 S4.5Tracking the Mexican business cycle (Yuriko Yabuta, Mexico)PDF1037 KB
 S4.6OECD System of Leading Indicators, 2008 (Gyorgy Gyomai and Emmanuelle Guidetti, OECD)PDF291 KB
 S4.7The role of Composite Indicators in Tracking Business Cycles (Ho-Sup Lee, Jong Rlog Choi and Sung Joo Lim, Korea)PDF407 KB
 S4.9The role of composite indicators in tracking business cycle in Mongolia (Gerelt-Od Ganbaatar, Mongolia)PDF605 KB
 S4.10Monitoring business cycles: Malaysias experiences (Abd. Latib Talib, Malaysia)PDF309 KB
 P4.10Monitoring business cycles: Malaysias experiencesPPT522 KB
 P4.11Discussion of the Contributed Papers to Session 4 (Geert Bruinooge, Netherlands)PPT39 KB
 SESSION 5:Flash Estimates of Gross Domestic Product
 P5.1Introduction to the sessionPPT575 KB
 P5.2Towards a flash GDPPPT1630 KB
 S5.3The Euro-area recession and nowcasting GDP growth using statistical models (Gian Luigi Mazzi, James Mitchell, Gaetana Montana, Kostas Mouratidis and Martin Weale)PDF190 KB
 P5.3The Euro-area recession and nowcasting GDP growth using statistical models (Gian Luigi Mazzi, James Mitchell, Gaetana Montana, Kostas Mouratidis and Martin Weale)PPT287 KB
 P5.4Methodology of Flash GDP estimatesPPT195 KB
 S5.5Availability and quality of short-term economic statistics in the Asian and the Pacific Region (Jan Smit and Artur Andrysiak, UNESCAP)PDF819 KB
 S5.6Methodological basis of the flash GDP estimates: Experience of the Republic of Belarus (Yulia Bartkevich, Belarus)PDF58 KB
 S5.7Flash Estimates of Quarterly GDP in China (Faqi Shi, China)PDF39 KB
 P5.8Some flash indicators for inflation in Indonesia (Sasmito Wibowo and Made Ina, Indonesia)PDF615 KB
 P5.9Discussion of the Contributed Papers to Session 5PPT303 KB
 SESSION 6:The Analytical Framework for Assessing Rapid Economic Changes
 P6.1Introduction to the sessionPPT917 KB
 P6.2Economic Monitoring in an Uncertain Global Environment - Processes and Tools from the World Bank (Soong Sup Lee, Hans Timmer and Gauresh Rajadhyaksha, World Bank)PPT732 KB
 P6.3Assessing the social impact of the crisis in the European Union (Terry Ward)PPT223 KB
 S6.4Indicators for detection of imbalances leading to economic crises (Ales Capek, Eurostat)PDF56 KB
 P6.5Short term statistics in ChilePPT234 KB
 P6.6Short term Indicators on African EconomiesPPT565 KB
 SESSION 7:Global Assessment Report on rapid indicators
 S7.1Global assessment on the availability, periodicity, timeliness and dissemination of high frequency indicators (Ivo Havinga and Herman Smith, UNSD)PDF104 KB
 P7.1Results of Global assessment on the availability, periodicity, timeliness and dissemination of high frequency indicatorsPPT1555 KB
 S7.2Use of early warning and business cycle indicators in analytical frameworks (Thierno Balde, Ralf Becker and Ivo Havinga, UNSD)PDF93 KB
 P7.2Early warning and business cycle indicators in analytical frameworksPPT1873 KB
 SESSION 8:Communication and dissemination of indicators
 P8.1Introduction to the sessionPPT197 KB
 S8.2Creating statistical information; visualisations and coherent indicator sets (Floris van Ruth, Netherlands)PDF402 KB
 P8.2Creating statistical information; visualisations and coherent indicator sets (Floris van Ruth, Netherlands)PPT435 KB
 P8.3Statistics ExplainedPPT695 KB
 P8.4Statistics Canada consultations with users: Results and lessons learned (Art Ridgeway, Canada)PPT365 KB
 S8.5SNA News and Notes - Issue 29, November 2009PDF269 KB
 SESSION 9:Assessment of Early Warning and Business Cycle Indicators