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{"sheet":"UNFerModel","index":0,"n_rows":110,"n_cols":5,"rows_kept":110,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[[4,1,4,8],[5,1,5,8],[6,1,6,2],[0,0,0,11],[1,1,1,8],[2,1,2,8]]}
["United Nations Model of fertility decline"]
["Source:","United Nations (2011). Methodology of the United Nations Population Estimates and Projections, Chapter VI in: World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Vol. III, Analytical Report, New York, p. 121-160."]
["URL:","http://www.un.org/esa/population/publications/WPP2006RevVol_III/WPP2006RevVol_III_final.pdf"]
[]
["Title","My projection of fertility decline"]
["Country","Poplandia"]
["Date","10.09.2012"]
[]
["Description"]
[]
[null,null,null,null,"Select an appropriate fertility model"]
["Base year",2010,null,null,1]
["Last year",2100]
["Base TFR",6]
[]
[]
[]
[]
["Year","TFR"]
[2010,6]
[2011,5.9016988407888755]
[2012,5.8009735378411484]
[2013,5.6977555210191486]
[2014,5.5920031548979781]
[2015,5.4837113589248325]
[2016,5.3729228389305286]
[2017,5.2597406424767774]
[2018,5.144341390967603]
[2019,5.0269880631736985]
[2020,4.9080406446888469]
[2021,4.787962416519095]
[2022,4.6673193160873545]
[2023,4.5467699196108429]
[2024,4.427044424835092]
[2025,4.3089126824624389]
[2026,4.1931436500856369]
[2027,4.0804610329440383]
[2028,3.9715014533615589]
[2029,3.86678147956804]
[2030,3.7666780461092966]
[2031,3.6714238005550883]
[2032,3.5811158163770123]
[2033,3.4957339434228696]
[2034,3.4151642902578896]
[2035,3.3392237780927871]
[2036,3.2676828431169769]
[2037,3.2002846448028546]
[2038,3.1367602042386911]
[2039,3.0768396131342217]
[2040,3.0202598391372963]
[2041,2.9667697931549357]
[2042,2.9161333144728188]
[2043,2.8681306448436761]
[2044,2.8225588526542125]
[2045,2.7792315602719735]
[2046,2.7379782342981751]
[2047,2.6986432234780064]
[2048,2.6610846717005008]
[2049,2.6251733912261686]
[2050,2.5907917509270253]
[2051,2.5578326130460822]
[2052,2.5261983373921413]
[2053,2.4957998621056738]
[2054,2.4665558637482987]
[2055,2.4383919954438755]
[2056,2.4112401993869366]
[2057,2.3850380887054676]
[2058,2.3597283930505513]
[2059,2.3352584621300103]
[2060,2.3115798215327561]
[2061,2.288647775487723]
[2062,2.2664210515880363]
[2063,2.2448614829366105]
[2064,2.2239337236014083]
[2065,2.2036049936873598]
[2066,2.1838448507260426]
[2067,2.1646249844478289]
[2068,2.1459190323320025]
[2069,2.12770241362831]
[2070,2.1099521798098313]
[2071,2.0926468796540081]
[2072,2.07576643735859]
[2073,2.0592920422847119]
[2074,2.0432060490828206]
[2075,2.02749188710114]
[2076,2.0121339781030261]
[2077,1.9971176614309525]
[2078,1.9824291258528204]
[2079,1.9680553474124292]
[2080,1.953984032681745]
[2081,1.9402035668793296]
[2082,1.926702966378073]
[2083,1.9134718351772049]
[2084,1.9005003249592884]
[2085,1.8877790983933063]
[2086,1.8752992953806622]
[2087,1.8630525019725517]
[2088,1.8510307217151682]
[2089,1.8392263492040761]
[2090,1.8276321456511595]
[2091,1.8162412162871955]
[2092,1.805046989440577]
[2093,1.7940431971482964]
[2094,1.7832238571692067]
[2095,1.772583256281999]
[2096,1.7621159347614535]
[2097,1.7518166719364732]
[2098,1.7416804727423325]
[2099,1.7317025551875886]
[2100,1.7218783386633008]

{"sheet":"UN model params","index":2,"n_rows":25,"n_cols":7,"rows_kept":25,"cut":false,"hidden":false,"merged":[]}
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[]
[null,"Parameter","Slow/slow","Fast/Slow","Fast/Fast"]
[null,"k1",-0.11273,-0.16097600000000001,-0.25216]
[null,"Δt1",5.0278999999999998,4.3411249999999999,4.0145799999999996]
[null,"tm1",5.7688300000000003,5.0644070000000001,5.1665599999999996]
[null,"k2",0.14754,0.220137,0.31284000000000001]
[null,"Δt2",2.7541500000000001,3.0225369999999998,4.3165199999999997]
[null,"tm2",3.2117800000000001,3.5230510000000002,3.9413800000000001]
[]
[null,"Ln(81)",{"$f":"LN(81)","v":4.3944491546724391},4.3944491546724391,4.3944491546724391]
[]
[]
[]
["Parameter","k1","Δt1","tm1","k2","Δt2","tm2"]
["Slow/slow",-0.11273,5.0278999999999998,5.7688300000000003,0.14754,2.7541500000000001,3.2117800000000001]
["Fast/Slow",-0.16097600000000001,4.3411249999999999,5.0644070000000001,0.220137,3.0225369999999998,3.5230510000000002]
["Fast/Fast",-0.25216,4.0145799999999996,5.1665599999999996,0.31284000000000001,4.3165199999999997,3.9413800000000001]